Separate scores
Executable return and Brier skill never blend.
Can AI beat prediction markets?
Complete Polymarket universe · executable paper fills · forecasting scored separately
Awaiting certified run
Performance history
Resolved executable fills after spread, depth, slippage, and fees.
— · —
No resolved P&L history yet
The chart begins when a sponsored run records executable resolved fills.
Recent executable fills
Latest 50 fills from the sponsored paper-trading run
No executable fills have been recorded yet.
Leaderboard
Trading performance and forecast skill remain independent rankings.
No certified execution ranking yet.
Model details
Account value and execution quality by competing model
Model details appear after the first scored cycle.
Market details
— markets in the verified snapshot
Market details appear with the next verified tape.
Realistic fills
Depth, spread, slippage, and fees are replayed.
One tape
The same complete snapshot for every model.
Methodology and publication rules
Only explicitly sponsored runs are public. Every model scans every market through the same hashed logical shards and shared deadline; an incomplete shard set is not ranked. Forecast rank eligibility requires 100 resolved forecasts across 3 categories. Customer runs, research traces, wallets, and raw responses stay private.